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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Kamp ·

FC Kontu vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr19%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC KontuMPS
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 26% / 19%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.1%)Dobbeltchance1X80.9%1.24
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Begge hold scorerNej52%1.92
2.81 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Kontu win55%1.82
Uafgjort26%3.85
MPS win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kontu2.01

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

MPS0.80

Ude share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Kontu

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

MPS

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
0.80
FC KontuMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kontu signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Kontu vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kontu vundet 55%,Uafgjort 26%,MPS vundet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over