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FCコントゥ vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利19%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score2–1FCコントゥMPS
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 26% / 19%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.1%)ダブルチャンス1X80.9%1.24
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.81 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FCコントゥ win55%1.82
引き分け26%3.85
MPS win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCコントゥ2.01

ホーム share of expected goals 71.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

MPS0.80

アウェイ share of expected goals 28.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FCコントゥ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

MPS

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.01
Expected goals
0.80
FCコントゥMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCコントゥ signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FCコントゥ vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCコントゥ 勝ち 55%,引き分け 26%,MPS 勝ち 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー