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KAZ Казахстан - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

FC Altai Semey vs Кызыл-Жар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Altai SemeyКызыл-Жар
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 28% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Двойной шанс1271.9%1.39
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFC Altai Semey winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Altai Semey win38%2.632.3538.1%-0.1 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Кызыл-Жар win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Altai Semey1.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

Кызыл-Жар1.10

Гости share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

FC Altai Semey

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кызыл-Жар

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.03
Expected goals
1.10
FC Altai SemeyКызыл-Жар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Altai Semey signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кызыл-Жар signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Altai Semey vs Кызыл-Жар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Altai Semey выигрыш 38%,Ничья 28%,Кызыл-Жар выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше