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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Final ·

Алавес vs Getafe

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score3–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1АлавесGetafe
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше74% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 34% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Двойной шанс1X74.3%1.35
Больше 26% · Меньше 74%Goals 2.5Меньше74%1.35
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алавес win40%2.502.3839.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья34%2.942.7534.5%-0.5 pp
Getafe win26%3.853.7025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алавес1.00

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 26% · Меньше 74%

Getafe0.76

Гости share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алавес

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
0.76
АлавесGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алавес signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Алавес vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алавес выигрыш 40%,Ничья 34%,Getafe выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · ТБ 2.5 26% · Current selection Меньше