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ESP Spania - La Liga · Final ·

CD Alaves vs Getafe

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score3–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal34%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD AlavesGetafe
Expected goals1.76Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub74% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 34% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Șansă dublă1X74.3%1.35
Peste 26% · Sub 74%Goals 2.5Sub74%1.35
Da 34% · Nu 66%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu66%1.52
1.76 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Alaves win40%2.502.3839.9%+0.1 pp
Egal34%2.942.7534.5%-0.5 pp
Getafe win26%3.853.7025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Alaves1.00

Gazde share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals1.76Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 26% · Sub 74%

Getafe0.76

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 34% · Nu 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

CD Alaves

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.00
Expected goals
0.76
CD AlavesGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Alaves signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

CD Alaves vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Alaves câștig 40%,Egal 34%,Getafe câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.76 · Peste 2.5 26% · Current selection Sub