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ENG Англия - Трофей АФЛ · Final ·

Нортгемптон vs Брайтон U21

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–3Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей29%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 49% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score2–1НортгемптонБрайтон U21
Expected goals3.42Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 22% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Двойной шанс1278.1%1.28
Больше 66% · Меньше 34%Goals 2.5Больше66%1.52
Да 66% · Нет 34%Обе забьютДа66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Нортгемптон win49%2.04
Ничья22%4.55
Брайтон U21 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нортгемптон1.95

Хозяева share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.42Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 66% · Меньше 34%

Брайтон U211.47

Гости share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 66% · Нет 34%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нортгемптон

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Брайтон U21

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.95
Expected goals
1.47
НортгемптонБрайтон U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нортгемптон signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Брайтон U21 signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Нортгемптон vs Брайтон U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нортгемптон выигрыш 49%,Ничья 22%,Брайтон U21 выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · ТБ 2.5 66% · Current selection Больше