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ENG Engeland - EFL Trophy · Final ·

Northampton vs Brighton U21

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–3Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst29%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 49% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorthamptonBrighton U21
Expected goals3.42Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 22% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Dubbele Kans1278.1%1.28
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Northampton win49%2.04
Gelijkspel22%4.55
Brighton U21 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Northampton1.95

Thuis share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.42Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Brighton U211.47

Uit share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Northampton

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Brighton U21

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.95
Expected goals
1.47
NorthamptonBrighton U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Northampton signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brighton U21 signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Northampton vs Brighton U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Northampton gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 22%,Brighton U21 gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven