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ENG England - EFL Trophy · Final ·

Northampton vs Brighton U21

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–3Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg29%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 49% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorthamptonBrighton U21
Expected goals3.42Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 22% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Doppelte Chance1278.1%1.28
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Northampton win49%2.04
Unentschieden22%4.55
Brighton U21 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Northampton1.95

Heim share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.42Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Brighton U211.47

Auswärts share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Northampton

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Brighton U21

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.95
Expected goals
1.47
NorthamptonBrighton U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Northampton signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brighton U21 signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Northampton vs Brighton U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Northampton Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 22%,Brighton U21 Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über