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ESP Испания - Дивизион Примера - Группа 2 · Матч ·

ФК Альхесирас vs ФК Картахена

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК АльхесирасФК Картахена
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 30% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Картахена win (26.7%)Двойной шанс1X73.3%1.36
Больше 30% · Меньше 70%Goals 2.5Меньше70%1.43
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
1.91 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapФК Альхесирас winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Альхесирас win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
ФК Картахена win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Альхесирас1.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.7%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 30% · Меньше 70%

ФК Картахена0.77

Гости share of expected goals 40.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Альхесирас

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Картахена

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.14
Expected goals
0.77
ФК АльхесирасФК Картахена
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Альхесирас signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Картахена signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ФК Альхесирас vs ФК Картахена FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Альхесирас выигрыш 43%,Ничья 30%,ФК Картахена выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · ТБ 2.5 30% · Current selection Меньше