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EUR Europe Friendlies · Meci ·

Aguilas vs Alcoyano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score2–1AguilasAlcoyano
Expected goals3.17Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 30% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcoyano win (29.2%)Șansă dublă1X70.8%1.41
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 65% · Nu 35%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65%1.54
3.17 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
7.8 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas win40%2.502.2539.9%
Egal30%3.332.8831.2%
Alcoyano win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.72

Gazde share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.17Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

Alcoyano1.45

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 65% · Nu 35%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Aguilas

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Alcoyano

2.33pts / match
Jucate3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.45
AguilasAlcoyano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcoyano signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aguilas vs Alcoyano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas câștig 40%,Egal 30%,Alcoyano câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste