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Aguilas vs Alcoyano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw30%
Away win29%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–1AguilasAlcoyano
Expected goals3.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 30% / 29%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcoyano win (29.2%)Double chance1X70.8%1.41
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.17 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas win40%2.502.2539.9%
Draw30%3.332.8831.2%
Alcoyano win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.72

Home share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Alcoyano1.45

Away share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aguilas

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Alcoyano

2.33pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.45
AguilasAlcoyano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcoyano signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aguilas vs Alcoyano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas win 40%,Draw 30%,Alcoyano win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over