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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Aguilas vs Alcoyano

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst29%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–1AguilasAlcoyano
Expected goals3.17Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 30% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcoyano win (29.2%)Dubbele Kans1X70.8%1.41
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.17 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
7.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas win40%2.502.2539.9%
Gelijkspel30%3.332.8831.2%
Alcoyano win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.17Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

Alcoyano1.45

Uit share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aguilas

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Alcoyano

2.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.72
Expected goals
1.45
AguilasAlcoyano
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcoyano signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Aguilas vs Alcoyano FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 30%,Alcoyano gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven