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ESP Spania - Segunda · Meci ·

Girona vs Las Palmas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1GironaLas Palmas
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub51% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 26% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Las Palmas win (19.6%)Șansă dublă1X80.4%1.24
Peste 49% · Sub 51%Goals 2.5Sub51%1.96
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Girona win55%1.821.6755.6%
Egal26%3.853.6025.8%
Las Palmas win20%5.005.0018.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Girona1.63

Gazde share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 49% · Sub 51%

Las Palmas0.99

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Girona

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Las Palmas

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.63
Expected goals
0.99
GironaLas Palmas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Girona signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Palmas signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Girona vs Las Palmas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Girona câștig 55%,Egal 26%,Las Palmas câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Peste 2.5 49% · Current selection Sub