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ESP Espagne - LaLiga2 · Match ·

Gérone vs Las Palmas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1GéroneLas Palmas
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 26% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Las Palmas win (19.6%)Double chance1X80.4%1.24
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gérone win55%1.821.6755.6%
Nul26%3.853.6025.8%
Las Palmas win20%5.005.0018.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gérone1.63

Domicile share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Las Palmas0.99

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Gérone

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Las Palmas

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.63
Expected goals
0.99
GéroneLas Palmas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gérone signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Palmas signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gérone vs Las Palmas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gérone victoire 55%,Nul 26%,Las Palmas victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de