Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 26% / 20%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Las Palmas win (19.6%)Double chance1X80.4%1.24
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Girona win55%1.821.6755.6%—
Draw26%3.853.6025.8%—
Las Palmas win20%5.005.0018.6%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.2%
Total expected goals2.62Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 37.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchGirona
LDDDD
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLas Palmas
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
20%4
Points from supplied form
121.63
Expected goals
0.99GironaLas Palmas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Girona vs Las Palmas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Girona win 55%，Draw 26%，Las Palmas win 20%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.62 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。