Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
47% / 32% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boulogne win (20.9%)Șansă dublă1X79.1%1.26
Peste 30% · Sub 70%Goals 2.5Sub70%1.43
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsScor corect1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Montpellier win47%2.13
Egal32%3.13
Boulogne win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 68.9%
Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Peste 30% · Sub 70%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 31.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMontpellier
WWDWL
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchBoulogne
DLDDL
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3
SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%10
Points from supplied form
31.31
Expected goals
0.59MontpellierBoulogne
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Montpellier vs Boulogne FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Montpellier câștig 47%，Egal 32%，Boulogne câștig 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.90 · Peste 2.5 30% · Current selection Sub。