Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 32% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boulogne win (20.9%)Double chance1X79.1%1.26
Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%Goals 2.5Moins de70%1.43
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
1.90 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Montpellier win47%2.13
Nul32%3.13
Boulogne win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 68.9%
Total expected goals1.90Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%
Extérieur share of expected goals 31.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMontpellier
WWDWL
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchBoulogne
DLDDL
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%10
Points from supplied form
31.31
Expected goals
0.59MontpellierBoulogne
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Montpellier vs Boulogne FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Montpellier victoire 47%，Nul 32%，Boulogne victoire 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.90 · Plus de 2.5 30% · Current selection Moins de。