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FIN Finlanda - Veikkausliiga · Meci ·

VPS Vaasa vs Lahti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde32%
Egal34%
Victorie oaspeți33%
Full model forecastEgalTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEgal34% selection probability
Projected score1–1VPS VaasaLahti
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
32% / 34% / 33%Rezultatul meciuluiEgal34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes VPS Vaasa win (32.1%)Șansă dublăX267.9%1.47
Peste 24% · Sub 76%Goals 2.5Sub76%1.32
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
VPS Vaasa win32%3.13
Egal34%2.94
Lahti win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VPS Vaasa0.83

Gazde share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 24% · Sub 76%

Lahti0.87

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

VPS Vaasa

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Lahti

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Câștig probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.83
Expected goals
0.87
VPS VaasaLahti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VPS Vaasa signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lahti signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

VPS Vaasa vs Lahti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Egal · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VPS Vaasa câștig 32%,Egal 34%,Lahti câștig 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Peste 2.5 24% · Current selection Sub