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FIN Finlandia - Veikkausliiga · Partita ·

VPS Vaasa vs Lahti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio34%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastPareggioTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callPareggio34% selection probability
Projected score1–1VPS VaasaLahti
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto76% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 34% / 33%Esito partitaPareggio34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes VPS Vaasa win (32.1%)Doppia ChanceX267.9%1.47
Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%Goals 2.5Sotto76%1.32
Sì 33% · No 67%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
VPS Vaasa win32%3.13
Pareggio34%2.94
Lahti win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VPS Vaasa0.83

Casa share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 24% · Sotto 76%

Lahti0.87

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

VPS Vaasa

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lahti

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.83
Expected goals
0.87
VPS VaasaLahti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VPS Vaasa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lahti signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

VPS Vaasa vs Lahti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Pareggio · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VPS Vaasa vinta 32%,Pareggio 34%,Lahti vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Sopra 2.5 24% · Current selection Sotto