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FIN Finlanda - Veikkausliiga · Meci ·

IF Gnistan vs TPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1IF GnistanTPS
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 29% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Șansă dublă1271.1%1.41
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
IF Gnistan win36%2.78
Egal29%3.45
TPS win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IF Gnistan1.34

Gazde share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

TPS1.32

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

IF Gnistan

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

TPS

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.34
Expected goals
1.32
IF GnistanTPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IF Gnistan signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TPS signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

IF Gnistan vs TPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IF Gnistan câștig 36%,Egal 29%,TPS câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub