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HUN Ungaria - NB III · Meci ·

Erdi VSE vs Paksi II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–14.54 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score3–1Erdi VSEPaksi II
Expected goals4.54Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste83% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 24% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Șansă dublă1275.9%1.32
Peste 83% · Sub 17%Goals 2.5Peste83%1.20
Da 71% · Nu 29%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa71%1.41
4.54 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapErdi VSE winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Erdi VSE win49%2.041.9147%+2.0 pp
Egal24%4.173.6024.9%-0.9 pp
Paksi II win27%3.703.2028.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erdi VSE3.19

Gazde share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals4.54Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 83% · Sub 17%

Paksi II1.35

Oaspeți share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 71% · Nu 29%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Erdi VSE

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Paksi II

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.19
Expected goals
1.35
Erdi VSEPaksi II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erdi VSE signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paksi II signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Erdi VSE vs Paksi II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erdi VSE câștig 49%,Egal 24%,Paksi II câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.54 · Peste 2.5 83% · Current selection Peste