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HUN Hungary NB III · Fixture ·

Erdi VSE vs Paksi II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.54 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw24%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score3–1Erdi VSEPaksi II
Expected goals4.54Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over83% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 24% / 27%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Double chance1275.9%1.32
Over 83% · Under 17%Goals 2.5Over83%1.20
Yes 71% · No 29%Both teams scoreYes71%1.41
4.54 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapErdi VSE winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Erdi VSE win49%2.041.9147%+2.0 pp
Draw24%4.173.6024.9%-0.9 pp
Paksi II win27%3.703.2028.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erdi VSE3.19

Home share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals4.54Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 83% · Under 17%

Paksi II1.35

Away share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 71% · No 29%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Erdi VSE

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Paksi II

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.19
Expected goals
1.35
Erdi VSEPaksi II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erdi VSE signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paksi II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Erdi VSE vs Paksi II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erdi VSE win 49%,Draw 24%,Paksi II win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.54 · Over 2.5 83% · Current selection Over