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HUN Maďarsko - NB III · Zápas ·

Érdi VSE vs Paksi II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–14.54 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích62%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích62% selection probability
Projected score3–1Érdi VSEPaksi II
Expected goals4.54Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více83% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
62% / 20% / 19%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Paksi II win (18.5%)Dvojitá šance1X81.5%1.23
Více 83% · Méně 17%Goals 2.5Více83%1.20
Ano 71% · Ne 29%Oba týmy skórujíAno71%1.41
4.54 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Érdi VSE win62%1.61
Remíza20%5.00
Paksi II win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Érdi VSE3.19

Domácí share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals4.54Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 83% · Méně 17%

Paksi II1.35

Hosté share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 71% · Ne 29%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Érdi VSE

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Paksi II

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
11
Points from supplied form
4
3.19
Expected goals
1.35
Érdi VSEPaksi II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Érdi VSE signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paksi II signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Érdi VSE vs Paksi II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Érdi VSE výhra 62%,Remíza 20%,Paksi II výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.54 · Více 2.5 83% · Current selection Více