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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 1 ·

SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde34%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți35% selection probability
Projected score1–1SV RiedRapid Vienna
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
34% / 31% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Șansă dublă1269%1.45
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
SV Ried win34%2.94
Egal31%3.23
Rapid Vienna win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SV Ried1.08

Gazde share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

Rapid Vienna1.12

Oaspeți share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

SV Ried

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.08
Expected goals
1.12
SV RiedRapid Vienna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SV Ried signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Vienna signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SV Ried câștig 34%,Egal 31%,Rapid Vienna câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub