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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 1 ·

SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier34%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier35%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier35% selection probability
Projected score1–1SV RiedRapid Vienna
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
34% / 31% / 35%KampresultatBorteseier35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Dobbel sjanse1269%1.45
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nei 55%Begge lag scorerNei55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
SV Ried win34%2.94
Uavgjort31%3.23
Rapid Vienna win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SV Ried1.08

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Rapid Vienna1.12

Borte share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nei 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SV Ried

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Rapid Vienna

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
35%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.08
Expected goals
1.12
SV RiedRapid Vienna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SV Ried signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Vienna signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SV Ried vunnet 34%,Uavgjort 31%,Rapid Vienna vunnet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under