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JPN Japonia - J-League · Meci ·

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde24%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți47%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți47% selection probability
Projected score1–2JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
24% / 28% / 47%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (24.3%)Șansă dublăX275.7%1.32
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JEF Utd Chiba win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Egal28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Machida Zelvia win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JEF Utd Chiba0.81

Gazde share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Machida Zelvia1.75

Oaspeți share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Câștig probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JEF Utd Chiba signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JEF Utd Chiba câștig 24%,Egal 28%,Machida Zelvia câștig 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub