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JPN Japan J-League · Kamp ·

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier24%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier47%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier47% selection probability
Projected score1–2JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
24% / 28% / 47%KampresultatBorteseier47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (24.3%)Dobbel sjanseX275.7%1.32
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JEF Utd Chiba win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Machida Zelvia win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JEF Utd Chiba0.81

Hjemme share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Machida Zelvia1.75

Borte share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JEF Utd Chiba signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JEF Utd Chiba vunnet 24%,Uavgjort 28%,Machida Zelvia vunnet 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under