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JPN Japan J-League · Kamp ·

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.65 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier33%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier38%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
Expected goals3.65Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
33% / 28% / 38%KampresultatBorteseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dobbel sjanse1271.6%1.40
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
3.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mito Hollyhock win33%3.032.7533.8%-0.8 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2029%-1.0 pp
Gamba Osaka win38%2.632.5037.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mito Hollyhock1.45

Hjemme share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals3.65Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Gamba Osaka2.20

Borte share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mito Hollyhock

0.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poeng0

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Gamba Osaka

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
38%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.45
Expected goals
2.20
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mito Hollyhock signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gamba Osaka signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mito Hollyhock vs Gamba Osaka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mito Hollyhock vunnet 33%,Uavgjort 28%,Gamba Osaka vunnet 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over