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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Final ·

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score0–2Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde21%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți54%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți54% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
21% / 26% / 54%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hartberg win (20.7%)Șansă dublăX279.3%1.26
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapHartberg winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hartberg win21%4.764.7519.8%+1.2 pp
Egal26%3.853.7525%+1.0 pp
SK Sturm Graz win54%1.851.7055.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.07

Gazde share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

SK Sturm Graz1.15

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Hartberg

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Câștig probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.15
HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg câștig 21%,Egal 26%,SK Sturm Graz câștig 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub