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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 29% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Șansă dublă1270.8%1.41
Peste 48% · Sub 52%Goals 2.5Sub52%1.92
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FM Klaipedos win36%2.78
Egal29%3.45
FK Sirvena win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FM Klaipedos1.31

Gazde share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 48% · Sub 52%

FK Sirvena1.26

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FM Klaipedos

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Sirvena

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.31
Expected goals
1.26
FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FM Klaipedos signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Sirvena signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FM Klaipedos câștig 36%,Egal 29%,FK Sirvena câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Peste 2.5 48% · Current selection Sub