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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 29% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doble Oportunidad1270.8%1.41
Más de 48% · Menos de 52%Goals 2.5Menos de52%1.92
Sí 53% · No 47%Ambos equipos marcan53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
FM Klaipedos win36%2.78
Empate29%3.45
FK Sirvena win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FM Klaipedos1.31

Local share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 48% · Menos de 52%

FK Sirvena1.26

Visitante share of expected goals 49%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FM Klaipedos

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Sirvena

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.31
Expected goals
1.26
FM KlaipedosFK Sirvena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FM Klaipedos signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Sirvena signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FM Klaipedos vs FK Sirvena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FM Klaipedos ganada 36%,Empate 29%,FK Sirvena ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Más de 2.5 48% · Current selection Menos de