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CHL Chile - Tercera · Meci ·

Deportes Rancagua vs CD Constitucion Unido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.17 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes RancaguaCD Constitucion Unido
Expected goals3.17Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 26% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Șansă dublă1273.8%1.36
Peste 61% · Sub 39%Goals 2.5Peste61%1.64
Da 63% · Nu 37%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa63%1.59
3.17 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Rancagua win43%2.332.1042.7%+0.3 pp
Egal26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
CD Constitucion Unido win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Rancagua1.74

Gazde share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals3.17Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 61% · Sub 39%

CD Constitucion Unido1.43

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 63% · Nu 37%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Deportes Rancagua

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CD Constitucion Unido

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.74
Expected goals
1.43
Deportes RancaguaCD Constitucion Unido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Rancagua signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Constitucion Unido signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Deportes Rancagua vs CD Constitucion Unido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Rancagua câștig 43%,Egal 26%,CD Constitucion Unido câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.17 · Peste 2.5 61% · Current selection Peste