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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Partida ·

CA Claypole vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa33%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante35%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante35% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA ClaypoleClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo74% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão66% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
33% / 32% / 35%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.1%)Dupla Chance1267.9%1.47
Acima 26% · Abaixo 74%Goals 2.5Abaixo74%1.35
Sim 34% · Não 66%Ambas as equipes marcamNão66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
7.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapCA Claypole winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Claypole win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Empate32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Club Mercedes win35%2.862.6334%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Claypole0.74

Mandante share of expected goals 41.8%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 26% · Abaixo 74%

Club Mercedes1.03

Visitante share of expected goals 58.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 34% · Não 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CA Claypole

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.74
Expected goals
1.03
CA ClaypoleClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Claypole signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Claypole vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Claypole ganhou 33%,Empate 32%,Club Mercedes ganhou 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Acima 2.5 26% · Current selection Abaixo