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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Spiel ·

CA Claypole vs Club Mercedes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg33%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg35% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA ClaypoleClub Mercedes
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein66% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
33% / 32% / 35%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.1%)Doppelte Chance1267.9%1.47
Über 26% · Unter 74%Goals 2.5Unter74%1.35
Ja 34% · Nein 66%Beide Teams treffenNein66%1.52
1.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
7.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapCA Claypole winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Claypole win33%3.032.6334%-1.0 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Club Mercedes win35%2.862.6334%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Claypole0.74

Heim share of expected goals 41.8%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 26% · Unter 74%

Club Mercedes1.03

Auswärts share of expected goals 58.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 34% · Nein 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA Claypole

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Club Mercedes

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.74
Expected goals
1.03
CA ClaypoleClub Mercedes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Claypole signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Mercedes signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Claypole vs Club Mercedes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Claypole Gewinn 33%,Unentschieden 32%,Club Mercedes Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · Über 2.5 26% · Current selection Unter