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ENG Inglaterra - EFL Trophy · Final ·

Wigan vs Aston Villa Sub21

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–2Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa62%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante18%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa62% selection probability
Projected score2–1WiganAston Villa Sub21
Expected goals3.45Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima67% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
62% / 21% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aston Villa Sub21 win (17.6%)Dupla Chance1X82.4%1.21
Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%Goals 2.5Acima67%1.49
Sim 65% · Não 35%Ambas as equipes marcamSim65%1.54
3.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wigan win62%1.611.4463.2%
Empate21%4.764.5020.2%
Aston Villa Sub21 win18%5.565.5016.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wigan2.19

Mandante share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals3.45Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%

Aston Villa Sub211.26

Visitante share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 65% · Não 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Wigan

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Aston Villa Sub21

0.00pts / match
Jogos3Wins0Drawn0Losses3Pontos0

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.19
Expected goals
1.26
WiganAston Villa Sub21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wigan signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa Sub21 signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Wigan vs Aston Villa Sub21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wigan ganhou 62%,Empate 21%,Aston Villa Sub21 ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Acima 2.5 67% · Current selection Acima