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ENG England EFL Trophy · Final ·

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–2Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win62%
Draw21%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 62% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score2–1WiganAston Villa U21
Expected goals3.45Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 21% / 18%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aston Villa U21 win (17.6%)Double chance1X82.4%1.21
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.45 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wigan win62%1.611.4463.2%
Draw21%4.764.5020.2%
Aston Villa U21 win18%5.565.5016.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wigan2.19

Home share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals3.45Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Aston Villa U211.26

Away share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wigan

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Aston Villa U21

0.00pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn0Losses3Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
0
2.19
Expected goals
1.26
WiganAston Villa U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wigan signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa U21 signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Wigan vs Aston Villa U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wigan win 62%,Draw 21%,Aston Villa U21 win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over