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ENG Inglaterra - EFL Trophy · Final ·

Northampton vs Brighton Sub21

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–3Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa49%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante29%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 49% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1NorthamptonBrighton Sub21
Expected goals3.42Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima66% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
49% / 22% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Dupla Chance1278.1%1.28
Acima 66% · Abaixo 34%Goals 2.5Acima66%1.52
Sim 66% · Não 34%Ambas as equipes marcamSim66%1.52
3.42 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Northampton win49%2.04
Empate22%4.55
Brighton Sub21 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Northampton1.95

Mandante share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.42Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 66% · Abaixo 34%

Brighton Sub211.47

Visitante share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 66% · Não 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Northampton

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Brighton Sub21

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.95
Expected goals
1.47
NorthamptonBrighton Sub21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Northampton signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brighton Sub21 signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Northampton vs Brighton Sub21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Northampton ganhou 49%,Empate 22%,Brighton Sub21 ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Acima 2.5 66% · Current selection Acima