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INT Chéquia - 4. Liga · Partida ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 23% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dupla Chance1276.6%1.31
Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%Goals 2.5Abaixo56%1.79
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamSim50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.28

Mandante share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%

Sternberk1.17

Visitante share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav ganhou 46%,Empate 23%,Sternberk ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Acima 2.5 44% · Current selection Abaixo