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INT Чехия - 4-та Лига · Мач ·

МСК Брецлав vs Стернберк

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина46%
Равен23%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина46% selection probability
Projected score1–1МСК БрецлавСтернберк
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
46% / 23% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Двоен шанс1276.6%1.31
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатДа50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapМСК Брецлав winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
МСК Брецлав win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Равен23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Стернберк win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

МСК Брецлав1.27

Домакин share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Стернберк1.17

Гост share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

МСК Брецлав

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Стернберк

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.27
Expected goals
1.17
МСК БрецлавСтернберк
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01МСК Брецлав signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стернберк signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

МСК Брецлав vs Стернберк FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

МСК Брецлав печеливш 46%,Равен 23%,Стернберк печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под