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INT Tchéquie - 4. Liga · Match ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 23% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%Goals 2.5Moins de56%1.79
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Nul23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.28

Domicile share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 44% · Moins de 56%

Sternberk1.17

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav victoire 46%,Nul 23%,Sternberk victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Plus de 2.5 44% · Current selection Moins de