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EST Estónia - Esiliiga · Partida ·

FC Elva vs Tartu JK Welco

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa23%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante56%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante56% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ElvaTartu JK Welco
Expected goals3.74Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima72% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
23% / 21% / 56%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Dupla Chance1279.2%1.26
Acima 72% · Abaixo 28%Goals 2.5Acima72%1.39
Sim 70% · Não 30%Ambas as equipes marcamSim70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
10.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elva win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Empate21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tartu JK Welco win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elva1.52

Mandante share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals3.74Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 72% · Abaixo 28%

Tartu JK Welco2.22

Visitante share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 70% · Não 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FC Elva

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tartu JK Welco

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
56%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
2.22
FC ElvaTartu JK Welco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elva signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tartu JK Welco signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Elva vs Tartu JK Welco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elva ganhou 23%,Empate 21%,Tartu JK Welco ganhou 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Acima 2.5 72% · Current selection Acima