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EST Естония - Есилига · Мач ·

ФК Елва vs Тарту Велко

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина23%
Равен21%
Победа за госта56%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта56% selection probability
Projected score2–2ФК ЕлваТарту Велко
Expected goals3.74Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над72% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
23% / 21% / 56%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Двоен шанс1279.2%1.26
Над 72% · Под 28%Goals 2.5Над72%1.39
Да 70% · Не 30%И двата отбора да отбележатДа70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Елва win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Равен21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Тарту Велко win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Елва1.52

Домакин share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals3.74Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 72% · Под 28%

Тарту Велко2.22

Гост share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 70% · Не 30%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Елва

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тарту Велко

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
56%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
2.22
ФК ЕлваТарту Велко
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Елва signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тарту Велко signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

ФК Елва vs Тарту Велко FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Елва печеливш 23%,Равен 21%,Тарту Велко печеливш 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Над 2.5 72% · Current selection Над