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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Spiel ·

FC Elva vs Tartu JK Welco

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg23%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg56%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg56% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC ElvaTartu JK Welco
Expected goals3.74Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
23% / 21% / 56%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Doppelte Chance1279.2%1.26
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.74 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Elva win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Tartu JK Welco win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Elva1.52

Heim share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals3.74Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Tartu JK Welco2.22

Auswärts share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Elva

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tartu JK Welco

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
56%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
2.22
FC ElvaTartu JK Welco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Elva signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tartu JK Welco signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Elva vs Tartu JK Welco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Elva Gewinn 23%,Unentschieden 21%,Tartu JK Welco Gewinn 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über