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CHL Chile - Tercera División · Final ·

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–1Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa26%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante48%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
26% / 26% / 48%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dupla Chance1274.1%1.35
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapLautaro de Buin winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chimbarongo FC win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Lautaro de Buin win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chimbarongo FC1.14

Mandante share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

Lautaro de Buin1.27

Visitante share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Chimbarongo FC

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lautaro de Buin

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
48%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.27
Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chimbarongo FC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lautaro de Buin signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chimbarongo FC ganhou 26%,Empate 26%,Lautaro de Buin ganhou 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo