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CHL Chile - Tercera División · Final ·

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante48%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante48% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 26% / 48%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doble Oportunidad1274.1%1.35
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapLautaro de Buin winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chimbarongo FC win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Lautaro de Buin win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chimbarongo FC1.14

Local share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

Lautaro de Buin1.27

Visitante share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Chimbarongo FC

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lautaro de Buin

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
48%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.27
Chimbarongo FCLautaro de Buin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chimbarongo FC signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lautaro de Buin signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chimbarongo FC vs Lautaro de Buin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chimbarongo FC ganada 26%,Empate 26%,Lautaro de Buin ganada 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de