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Central Espanol vs Club Atlético Progreso

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa41%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante31%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Central EspanolClub Atlético Progreso
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
41% / 28% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dupla Chance1272.3%1.38
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Central Espanol win41%2.44
Empate28%3.57
Club Atlético Progreso win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol1.29

Mandante share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

Club Atlético Progreso1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Central Espanol

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Atlético Progreso

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
1.08
Central EspanolClub Atlético Progreso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atlético Progreso signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Central Espanol vs Club Atlético Progreso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol ganhou 41%,Empate 28%,Club Atlético Progreso ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo