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Central Espanol vs Club Atletico Progreso

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite31%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Central EspanolClub Atletico Progreso
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 28% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppia Chance1272.3%1.38
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Central Espanol win41%2.44
Pareggio28%3.57
Club Atletico Progreso win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Central Espanol1.29

Casa share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Club Atletico Progreso1.08

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Central Espanol

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
1.08
Central EspanolClub Atletico Progreso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Central Espanol signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atletico Progreso signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Central Espanol vs Club Atletico Progreso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Central Espanol vinta 41%,Pareggio 28%,Club Atletico Progreso vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto