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INT Portugal - 3.ª Liga · Final ·

Lusitano Ginásio Clube vs Atlético CP

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–1Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa40%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano Ginásio ClubeAtlético CP
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
40% / 29% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dupla Chance1270.6%1.42
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano Ginásio Clube winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano Ginásio Clube win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Empate29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atlético CP win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano Ginásio Clube0.90

Mandante share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

Atlético CP0.97

Visitante share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Lusitano Ginásio Clube

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético CP

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Lusitano Ginásio ClubeAtlético CP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano Ginásio Clube signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético CP signalMandante won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lusitano Ginásio Clube vs Atlético CP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano Ginásio Clube ganhou 40%,Empate 29%,Atlético CP ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo