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LTU Litwa - II Lyga · Mecz ·

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–34.72 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy17%
Remis18%
Wygrana gości65%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości65% selection probability
Projected score2–3DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Expected goals4.72Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej85% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak80% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
17% / 18% / 65%Wynik meczuWygrana gości65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava II win (16.8%)Podwójna szansaX283.2%1.20
Powyżej 85% · Poniżej 15%Goals 2.5Powyżej85%1.18
Tak 80% · Nie 20%Obie drużyny strzeląTak80%1.25
4.72 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–3
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFKS Ukmerge winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
DFK Dainava II win17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Remis18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
FKS Ukmerge win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava II1.86

Gospodarze share of expected goals 39.4%

Total expected goals4.72Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 85% · Poniżej 15%

FKS Ukmerge2.86

Goście share of expected goals 60.6%

Projected score2–3BTTS splitTak 80% · Nie 20%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava II

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FKS Ukmerge

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGoście won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
65%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
2.86
DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKS Ukmerge signalGoście won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava II wygrana 17%,Remis 18%,FKS Ukmerge wygrana 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.72 · Powyżej 2.5 85% · Current selection Powyżej