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LTU Литва - Втора Лига · Мач ·

ДФК Дайнава II vs ФКС Укмерге

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–34.72 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина17%
Равен18%
Победа за госта65%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта65% selection probability
Projected score2–3ДФК Дайнава IIФКС Укмерге
Expected goals4.72Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над85% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа80% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
17% / 18% / 65%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ДФК Дайнава II win (16.8%)Двоен шансX283.2%1.20
Над 85% · Под 15%Goals 2.5Над85%1.18
Да 80% · Не 20%И двата отбора да отбележатДа80%1.25
4.72 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–3
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapФКС Укмерге winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ДФК Дайнава II win17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Равен18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
ФКС Укмерге win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ДФК Дайнава II1.86

Домакин share of expected goals 39.4%

Total expected goals4.72Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 85% · Под 15%

ФКС Укмерге2.86

Гост share of expected goals 60.6%

Projected score2–3BTTS splitДа 80% · Не 20%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ДФК Дайнава II

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФКС Укмерге

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
65%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
2.86
ДФК Дайнава IIФКС Укмерге
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ДФК Дайнава II signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФКС Укмерге signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ДФК Дайнава II vs ФКС Укмерге FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ДФК Дайнава II печеливш 17%,Равен 18%,ФКС Укмерге печеливш 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.72 · Над 2.5 85% · Current selection Над